The New York Times: Bernie Sanders’s Win in Michigan Changes Race but Not Probabilities

 

The New York Times

Excerpts from Mr Cohn’s article

Bernie Sanders managed to defeat Hillary Clinton by two percentage points in Michigan on Tuesday night, even though he trailed by at least 11 percentage points in every survey, and even though the demographics pointed toward a significant, if relatively smaller, advantage for Mrs. Clinton.

Mr. Sanders’s win is so surprising that it’s hard to know what to make of it. Are we learning, for the first time, of a big latent advantage in the Rust Belt? Was it a fluke?

Yet one thing is clear: Mrs. Clinton still has a significant advantage nationwide. Her delegate lead is so solid that she would continue to win, even if Mr. Sanders’s ability to defy expectations the way he did in Michigan became a trend.

 

 

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